Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 9.369198 10.696698 12.152972 13.870331 15.841946 18.036684 20.667972
2025-12-07 7.622265 9.372177 11.443588 14.081335 17.358387 21.305545 26.435495
2025-12-14 6.501890 8.425143 10.827912 14.059872 18.308972 23.726086 31.190680
2025-12-21 5.663384 7.659596 10.265961 13.933099 18.984656 25.734842 35.500207
2025-12-28 5.233109 7.348508 10.219620 14.422773 20.456809 28.863550 41.564702
2026-01-04 4.839184 7.026487 10.099593 14.761111 21.705892 31.752045 47.536978
2026-01-11 4.550028 6.812171 10.092791 15.234368 23.160788 35.032520 54.377121
2026-01-18 4.087764 6.290151 9.576108 14.879448 23.310886 36.341503 58.285712
2026-01-25 3.718450 5.870159 9.166846 14.635867 23.585772 37.832236 62.581883
2026-02-01 3.400862 5.499154 8.795082 14.406177 23.842332 39.287803 66.922812
2026-02-08 3.120397 5.161007 8.442534 14.167470 24.046912 40.651966 71.206561
2026-02-15 2.864994 4.840883 8.089730 13.890612 24.149605 41.832577 75.252539
2026-02-22 2.786448 4.814899 8.228949 14.475444 25.811945 45.879459 84.895985
2026-03-01 2.650967 4.678525 8.167000 14.698574 26.846187 48.899379 92.947090
2026-03-08 2.489150 4.481148 7.980278 14.676067 27.420867 51.118655 99.678026
2026-03-15 2.326264 4.267927 7.746728 14.543505 27.770259 52.934623 105.781807
2026-03-22 2.268368 4.242735 7.852155 15.055561 29.394985 57.325062 117.479946
2026-03-29 2.192610 4.177242 7.875995 15.409382 30.735223 61.268326 128.647337
2026-04-05 2.139248 4.149929 7.968843 15.904321 32.397952 65.998712 141.952787
2026-04-12 1.986877 3.917031 7.645509 15.533138 32.245224 66.979310 147.212355
2026-04-19 1.860237 3.725792 7.389724 15.278404 32.311410 68.417246 153.618480
2026-04-26 1.745220 3.549507 7.150677 15.038205 32.385233 69.871277 160.196048
2026-05-03 1.638120 3.381662 6.916447 14.788584 32.414868 71.225642 166.668907